Cloud Stocks: Twilio’s Segment Acquisition Appears to have Backfired | Sramana Mitra

Cloud Stocks: Twilio's Segment Acquisition Appears to have Backfired | Sramana Mitra

Posted on Tuesday, Feb 20th 2024Communication Platform as a Service (CPaaS) player Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) is having a rocky start to the year. A recent investor action forced the exit of its founder and CEO Jeff Lawson and more recently, the lower outlook for the rest of the year did not please the analysts either. Twilio’s FinancialsTwilio’s fourth quarter revenues grew 5% to $1.08 billion, ahead of the market’s forecast of $1.04 billion. It ended the quarter with a GAAP loss of $362 million. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.86 per share compared with $0.22 per share a year ago. It was also significantly better than the analyst estimate of $0.58 per share.Communications revenue was up 5% to $1 billion. Segment revenue, earlier known as Data & Applications grew 4% to $75 million.Among key metrics, it ended the year with more than 305,000 active customer accounts compared to more than 290,000 as of December last year. Dollar-Based Net Expansion Rate of 102% for the fourth quarter was lower than previous year’s 110%.Twilio ended the year with revenues growing 9% to $4.15 billion and an adjusted net income of $2.45 per share compared with $0.15 per share reported a year ago.Twilio expects to end the first quarter with revenues of $1.025-$1.035 billion and earnings of $0.56-$0.60 per share. The revenue outlook was significantly lower than the market’s expectations of $1.05 billion for the quarter.Twilio’s WorriesThe company has had a turbulent start to the year that stemmed from the $3.2 billion acquisition of Segment completed in 2020. Segment was known for its customer data platform that enabled both developers and organizations to integrate customer data from every customer touchpoint and record system, thus empowering marketing and sales and services leaders with meaningful information. The data that it gathered was used to garner insights needed to enhance customer engagement.At the time of the acquisition, Twilio planned to leverage Segment to deliver a solution that would allow businesses to make their customer engagement across all channels more personalized, timely, and impactful. However, Twilio’s investors believe that it failed to live up to those expectations. Analysts weren’t thrilled with the $3.2 billion price tag, which they believed was a significant premium to pay. Additionally, Segment has been a drag on the performance of Twilio’s communications business.Earlier this year, activist investors at Anson Funds and Legion Capital proposed that they would like to sell off either the Segment unit or the whole company. The actions resulted in the exit of CEO and founder Jeff Lawson. Lawson also stepped down from the Board of Directors position and was replaced by Khozema Shipchandler, another long time Twilio executive.While he has not announced plans to sell off Segment, Shipchandler has confirmed that Twilio would look deeper into the non-performing business. Under his leadership, Twilio is expected to increase the integration of AI with its communication tools to deliver more personalized experiences. Twilio is also looking at continuing to manage its cost structure. Last December, Twilio had announced plans to reduce its workforce by 5%. It is still early days for the new CEO, but the market has already turned on the stock and it fell 9% in the after-hours trading session.Twilio’s stock is trading at $58.59 with a market cap of $10.6 billion. The stock had climbed to a 52-week high of $78.16 in December last year, having climbed from the 52-week low of $45.02 that it had fallen to in May last year.Disclosure: All investors should make their own assessments based on their own research, informed interpretations, and risk appetite. This article expresses my own opinions based on my own research of product-market fit, channel execution, and other factors. My primary interest is in product strategy. While this may have bearing on stock movements, my writings tend to focus on long-term implications. The information presented is illustrative and educational, but should not be regarded as a complete analysis nor recommendation to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. I am not a registered investment adviser and I am not receiving compensation for this article. I am an investor in this company.Photo Credit: Gerd Altmann from PixabayThis segment is a part in the series : Cloud Stocks . 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Wix Goes on an Acquisition Spree . Analysis of Twilio’s Zipwhip Acquisition . HubSpot’s PaaS Ecosystem Revenues Expected to Grow Rapidly . Zendesk’s Products Help Increase Average Deal Size . Shopify Focuses on Social Commerce . Pure Storage Expansion into Hybrid Cloud Fueled by Portworx Acquisition . Salesforce Leverages Mulesoft and Tableau Acquisitions Successfully . Workday Gearing up for Post Pandemic IT Spend Increase . Veeva Pushing Forth to $3 Billion by 2025 . Anaplan Expands Vertical Offerings . Analysis of Palo Alto’s Bridgeview Acquisition . Nutanix Expands Government Vertical Offerings . Okta Expanding Government Sector Capabilities . Analysis of Splunk’s TruStar Acquisition . Smartsheet Remains Focused on Integrations . Five9’s Partnerships Translating to Product Innovations . DocuSign Sees Digital Signature Trends Here to Stay . Market Leader Tenable Leverages Acquisitions for Growth . Analysis of Zscaler’s Recent Two Acquisitions . Analysis of Rapid7’s Velocidex Acquisition . Dropbox Expands in International eSignature Market . MongoDB Rides High on Five Years of Atlas . RingCentral Leverages Partnerships for Growth . BlackLine Remains Focused on SAP . ON24 Expands Marketing Offerings . Analysis of Magnite’s Spot X Acquisition . PagerDuty Focuses on Integrations . Analysis of Bill.com’s Divvy Acquisition . C3.ai Doubles Down on Partnerships . Analysis of Coupa’s Pana Acquisition . BigCommerce Eyes a Bigger Marketshare Through Walmart Tie-up . Analysis of Everbridge’s xMatters Acquisition . Adobe’s Digital Solutions Drive Stellar Growth . CrowdStrike Leads in Endpoint Security Through Tie-ups . Snowflake Focuses on Expanded Partner Program to Drive Growth . Analysis of Sumo Logic’s Sensu Acquisition . Dynatrace Counts on AI to Continue its Market Leadership . Analysis of IBM’s Waeg Acquisition . Tuya Focuses on Smart Product Distribution . Appian Strengthens AI Offerings . Analysis of Zoom’s Five9 Acquisition . Google’s Offerings Help Drive Partner Revenue Growth . ServiceNow’s Entire Portfolio is Booming . How can Atlassian Amplify its Robust Growth? . Analysis of Microsoft’s Three More Acquisitions After Nuance . Twilio Focuses on Customer Engagement . Analysis of Amazon’s MGM Acquisition . Guidewire Focuses on Building its Partner Network . Momentive, Formerly SurveyMonkey, Adds Analytics to Offerings . Zendesk Should Look at Acquisitions . HubSpot Continues to Grow its App Marketplace . Is Alteryx Being Acquired? . Shopify Continues to Woo Developers . DigitalOcean Expands Partnership with MongoDB . Analysis of Qualys’ TotalCloud Acquisition . Pure Storage Experimenting with Pricing Models . Palo Alto Networks Expands Security Capabilities . RingCentral Cashing in on the Hybrid Work Environment . Splunk Tackles Decelerating Growth with Product Upgrades . MongoDB’s Atlas Capabilities Expand to the Government Sector . Analysis of Bill.com’s Invoice2Go Acquisition . DocuSign Banks on Agreement Cloud . Smartsheet’s Expanding Use Cases . Analysis of Salesforce’s Servicetrace Acquisition . Zscaler Focuses on Federal Agencies . Coupa Launches PaaS Strategy . Analysis of BlackLine’s Kyriba Partnership . PagerDuty’s Expanding Integration Portfolio . Analysis of Tenable’s Accurics Acquisition . Upstart’s Improving AI Algorithm in FinTech Consumer Lending . Analysis of C3.ai’s Growing Partnerships . Analysis of Veeva’s Learnaboutgmp Acquisition . Analysis of Adobe’s Frame.io Acquisition . Snowflake Focuses on the Financial Services Sector . CrowdStrike Expands Government Offerings . Zoom Focuses on Expanding Reseller Offerings . Dropbox Focuses on Content Creators with New Product . Analysis of Okta’s atSpoke Acquisition . Sumo Logic Leverages Red Hat Marketplace . Analysis of Dynatrace’s SpectX Acquisition . Tuya Prepares to Address the Chip Shortage . Analysis of Appian’s Lana Labs Acquisition . Analysis of Qualtrics’s $1.125B Clarabridge Acquisition . 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MongoDB Focuses on Winning Government Contracts . DocuSign Targets $50B Market Opportunity in Agreement Cloud . Smartsheet Focuses on PaaS Growth . C3.ai Expands Enterprise and Public Sector Presence . 25 Cloud Stocks to BUY in 2022 . IBM Realigns its Portfolio to Focus on AI and Hybrid Cloud . Analysis of ServiceNow’s DotWalk Acquisition . Analysis of Atlassian’s Percept.AI Acquisition . Should Microsoft Break Itself Up? . Google Focuses on AI Enhancements . Amazon to Test Prime Customer Stickiness . Bill.com Continues Focus on Services for the SMB Segment . Analysis of GoDaddy’s Pagely Acquisition . HubSpot’s PaaS Keeps Growing . Freshworks Targets IT Operations Management Market . Zendesk Rejects Private Equity Buyout Offer . Shopify Emerges as a Covid Beneficiary with Stellar Results . Wix Simplifies App Creation . Anaplan Expands AWS Relationship . ON24 Builds a Partner Network . RingCentral Maintains Market Share Leadership in UCaaS Through Partnerships . BigCommerce Rides on TikTok’s Growth . Analysis of Veeva’s Veracity Acquisition . Salesforce Slows Down M&A to Focus on Integration . Okta’s Widening Losses Worry Investors, But Growth Metrics Remain Strong . Nutanix Plans to Take on VMWare . Newly Public HashiCorp Focuses on a $73B Infrastructure-as-a-Code Market . Coupa Focuses on Key Products to Restart Decelerating Performance . Smartsheet’s Product Line-up Fails to Accelerate Growth . DocuSign Targets a $50 Billion Market Opportunity . Pure Storage Takes on Dell in Top Tier Storage Market . Analysis of PagerDuty’s Catalytic Acquisition . Splunk Impresses with Enterprise Customer Growth . Analysis of Qualtrics’s Acquisition of SurveyVitals . Analysis of DigitalOcean’s Nimbella Acquisition . Squarespace Eyes Video Offerings for SMBs . MongoDB is Leveraging Alliance with Amazon for Growth . Rapid7’s Cross-Sell Capabilities Deliver Results . CrowdStrike Expands Partnerships to Address Cyber Attack Fears . Upstart Focuses on the Automobile Market for Growth . Zoom Adds Contact Center Capabilities to Enhance its UCaaS Stack . Tuya Struggles Amid Macro Economic Conditions . Analysis of Fastly’s Fanout Acquisition . Analysis of BlackLine’s FourQ Systems Acquisition . Analysis of IBM’s Neudesic Acquisition . Analysis of Snowflake’s Streamlit Acquisition . Google’s Acquisition of Mandiant Fuels its Cloud Strategy . Microsoft Expands its Healthcare Cloud Offerings . Amazon Battles Margin Pressures . Atlassian Faces Stiff Competition . GoDaddy Targets a $126B TAM Opportunity . Bill.com Builds Value Added Services to Expand Wallet Share . Analysis of ON24’s VIBBIO Acquisition . Twilio’s Growth is Driven by Segment . Freshworks’ Bots Make Customer Interactions Easier . Who Will Buy Zendesk? . Analysis of Shopify’s Deliverr Acquisition . Wix Focuses on Profitability Amid Mounting Losses . Dynatrace Targets $50B Addressable Market . Analysis of Salesforce’s Troop.Ai Acquisition . Analysis of Workday’s VNDLY Acquisition . Nutanix Stumbles on Supply Chain Issues . Veeva Targets $13 Billion TAM . RingCentral Maintains UCaaS Leadership Through Partnerships and Innovation . Okta Bounces Back Stronger Despite Security Event . Adobe Strengthens its Creative Cloud Portfolio and Gets Ready for the Metaverse . Analysis of Zoom’s Acquisition of Solvvy . Smartsheet Expands its Capabilities for Marketers . Toast Addresses Changing Restaurant Industry Dynamics . UiPath Simplifies Intelligent Automation . Informatica Focuses on Vertical Specific Offerings for Growth . Samsara Expands Farm-Focused Vertical Offerings . ForgeRock Leverages AI for Growth . Marqeta Struggles, Tries to Recover Through an API Strategy . Confluent Expands Ecosystem with Microsoft and AWS . Couchbase Focuses on Improving Efficiencies for Developers . Sprinklr’s Deepening Integrations with TikTok and Amazon . Analysis of IBM’s Randori Acquisition . Expensify Tests Other Services for Growth . monday.com Builds Capabilities for its App Marketplace . Snowflake Leverages the Streamlit Acquisition . Google Hones its Search Tech . Microsoft’s Momentum in Commercial and Cloud Keeps it Steady . Amazon’s Twin Engines of AWS and Prime Make it Resilient . Analysis of ServiceNow’s Hitch Works Acquisition . Twilio’s Strategy Post Segment Acquisition . HubSpot’s Marketplace Strategy Continues to Thrive . Analysis of GoDaddy’s Dan.com Acquisition . Freshworks Looks to Freshchat for Product Portfolio Expansion . Zendesk Agrees to be Bought Out . Tenable Provides Visibility into Internet-based Assets . Qualys Leverages Partner Network to Drive Go-to-Market Agenda . Bill.com Banks on its Organic Flywheel Amid Economic Turbulence . ON24 Targets $44 Billion Addressable Market . Palo Alto Network’s Transformation Strategy Delivers Results . Atlassian’s Ecosystem Strategy Keeps it Steady . Okta Struggles with Auth0 Integration . Salesforce Targets Vertical Focused Offerings to Battle Economic Conditions . Workday Grows Strong Despite Recession . Nutanix’s Subscription Model Delivers Results . Veeva Believes R&D Segment Will Deliver under Economic Uncertainty . RingCentral Focuses on Hardware Integration . MongoDB Addresses Economic Concerns Through Product Upgrades . Rapid7 Focuses on Simplifying View for Security Teams . Analysis of Smartsheet’s Outfit Acquisition . HashiCorp Struggles to Maintain DecaCorn Valuation Amid Stock Conditions . Coupa Helps Maximize Savings Efficiency to Tackle Global Economic Conditions . DocuSign Focuses on Integrations . PagerDuty Focuses on Reducing Manual Intervention within DevOps . Pure Storage Focuses on Flexible Customer Offerings . Analysis of Adobe’s $20B Figma Acquisition . Backblaze Builds out a Partner Program . Analysis of DigitalOcean’s Acquisitions . BlackLine Expands Google Cloud Partnership . Sumo Logic Focuses on Federal Offerings . Tuya Fails to Cope with Economic Turbulence . Analysis of CrowdStrike’s Reposify Acquisition . Upstart Expands Its AI Product Reach . Zoom Fails to Impress Post the Pandemic . Samsara Showcases Use Cases to Prove Resilience to Market Conditions . Analysis of Fastly’s Glitch Acquisition . Couchbase Focuses on Development of its Community . Analysis of UiPath’s Re . Snowflake Helps Developers Monetize its Marketplace . Analysis of IBM’s Recent Dialexa and Databand.ai Acquisitions . Confluent Targets Growth Through Partner Network . Squarespace Focuses on Commerce Tools for Businesses . Analysis of Microsoft’s EduBrite Acquisition . Analysis of ServiceNow’s Era Software Acquisition . Google Runs Simplicity Sprint to Address Economic Uncertainty . Amazon’s Response to Worsening Economic Conditions . Twilio’s Solutions Target Customer Lifetime Journey . Freshworks Faces Growing Competition from AI-Focused Support Services Providers . Atlassian’s Cloud Growth Slows Down . Hubspot Manages to Grow Customer Base Amidst Market Turmoil . Analysis of Bill.com’s Acquisition . Analysis of Qualys’s Blue Hexagon Acquisition . Potential Buyers for Nutanix . Workday Focuses on Building Partner Ecosystem for Innovation . Why is Salesforce Stock Down? . Veeva CRM will Move to Vault Platform . DocuSign Focuses on Diversifying Portfolio . Adobe Adds AI Capabilities to Creative Cloud . Oracle’s Focus on Application Platforms Paying Off . RingCentral Expands into Device as a Service . Smartsheet Focuses on App Integrations . Analysis of DigitalOcean’s Cloudways Acquisition . BlackLine Expands Product Line-up with AI and AR tools . Microsoft Challenges Google with OpenAI Partnership . ServiceNow has a Stellar Year . Analysis of IBM’s Octo Acquisition . Google Flexes its AI Muscle to Take on ChatGPT . Amazon Focused on Expanding Fulfillment with Buy with Prime . Twilio Focusing on Health Vertical . Atlassian Focuses on Collaboration Tool Capabilities . Freshworks Partners with Meta to Provide its AI-Powered Conversational Bots . Shopify Eyeing Enterprise Business with Commerce Components . Workday has a Milestone Quarter, Builds on its AI and ML Offerings . Nutanix Eyeing International Markets for Growth . Salesforce’s Einstein GPT Leverages Generative AI Capabilities for CRM . Analysis of Veeva CRM’s Split from Salesforce . DocuSign is Building on AI and Self Serve Capabilities . Adobe Beta Launches its Generative AI Tool – the Firefly . Okta Focuses on Finance Integrations . Oracle’s New Release Focuses on Developers . MongoDB Expands its Cloud IaaS Capabilities . Qualys Focuses on SMB Segment for Growth . BlackLine Improves Cash Management Offerings Amid Recession Fears . IBM’s Presses into Quantum Computing . Microsoft’s lead in Azure powered by OpenAI . ServiceNow Leverages AI Capabilities . Meta Plays with Generative AI Capabilities . Google Accelerates AI Push to Address Microsoft’s Growing Prowess . Analysis of Amazon’s One Medical Acquisition . Twilio Attempts Personalization . Atlassian Embeds AI into Solutions . Nutanix Reimagines Data Centric Platform Services . Shopify Embeds AI into Shop . Workday Leverages AI in its Acquisitions . Zscaler adds AI Capabilities to Cyber Security . Veeva Steps Up Its Consulting Engine . Nvidia Cashes in on AI Growth . DocuSign Focuses on the Healthcare Sector . Adobe Builds on Firefly Generative AI . Okta Amps up Product Offerings . Oracle Partners with Cohere for Generative AI . MongoDB Accelerates Atlas Enhancements for Developers . Analysis of IBM’s Apptio Acquisition . All Eyes are on Microsoft’s AI Bet . Analysis of ServiceNow’s G2K Acquisition . Google Expands Generative AI Beyond Bard . Amazon Focuses on AI Tools for Developers . Twilio Focused on Integrating AI into UCaaS . Atlassian’s AI Investments Please the Market . Shopify Turns to AI and Crypto . Nutanix Continues to Impress . Salesforce Grows its AI Partner Network . Veeva Sees Strong Product Adoption . Nvidia Focuses on AI-driven Growth . DocuSign Explores ID Verification Features to Counter Deep Fakes . Adobe’s AI is Out for General Release . Okta Not Worried by Macro Headwinds . Oracle Stumbles, but Remains Focused on AI . Klaviyo Tests the IPO Market . MongoDB Focuses on Verticalized Offerings . Microsoft Begins Monetizing AI . IBM’s Growing Generative AI Investments . ServiceNow’s Stellar Performance Continues . Alphabet Bets on AI . Amazon Looking at Pharmacies and AI . Twilio Adds AI Use Cases . Analysis of Atlassian’s $975M Loom Acquisition . Nvidia to Continue Dominating . Salesforce Defies Market Turbulence . Nutanix Expands Security Offerings . Veeva Sees Traction on Vault CRM . Workday Focuses on AI Skills . Okta Leverages AI for Security . Adobe Calls off Figma Acquisition . Analysis of AMD’s Acquisitions . C3.ai Banks on AWS for AI Expansion . AppLovin Continues to Deliver with AI . Palantir Applies AI Bootcamp Go-to-Market Strategy with Success . MongoDB Ups its AI Capabilities . Oracle Builds on NetSuite with Next Technik Acquisition . Big Blue Climbs to 10-Year High on AI Potential . Analysis of ServiceNow’s UltimateSuite Acquisition . Analysis of Microsoft’s AI Platform Strategy . Analysis of Google’s AI Platform Strategy . Analysis of Amazon’s GenAI Strategy . Twilio’s Segment Acquisition Appears to have Backfired

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